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REPUBLIKA.CO.ID, JAKARTA -- Bank Indonesia (BI) Governor Perry Warjiyo expects Indonesia’s economy to grow between 4.7 percent and 5.5 percent in 2025, supported by strong export performance and continued government stimulus. Economic growth in the second half of 2025 is also projected to be stronger than in the same period last year.
“For the full year of 2025, Bank Indonesia projects economic growth to be slightly above the midpoint of the range, between 4.7 and 5.5 percent,” Perry said during a press conference following the Quarter IV 2025 Financial System Stability Committee (KSSK) meeting in Jakarta on Monday (3/11/2025).
Tidak ada kode iklan yang tersedia.According to Perry, growth in the third and fourth quarters of 2025 will likely be higher than in the corresponding quarters of 2024, driven by robust export performance and the rollout of key government projects in food and energy security, defense, and national economic policy packages.
BI will continue to strengthen its policy mix to support growth while maintaining macroeconomic stability, in close coordination with the government and KSSK.
“Bank Indonesia’s monetary policy aims to strike a balance between maintaining stability and supporting economic growth, pro-stability and growth,” Perry said.
He added that macroprudential and payment system policies will continue to focus on supporting economic expansion, backed by initiatives to deepen financial markets, promote inclusive and green finance, and enhance international cooperation.
Finance Minister Purbaya Yudhi Sadewa also emphasized that strong domestic demand remains the main pillar of Indonesia’s economic resilience and growth.
“Our domestic demand accounts for about 90 percent, while global factors only influence around 10 percent. Exports may contribute about 20 percent, but overall, we still control roughly 80 percent of our own economic direction,” Purbaya said during a working meeting with Committee IV of the Regional Representative Council (DPD RI) in Jakarta on Monday (3/11/2025).
He said concerns about global economic conditions are often exaggerated, as global uncertainty is a recurring phenomenon every year.
“In my 25 years as an economist, global uncertainty has always been there. So the smartest thing for us to do is to formulate the right domestic policies. Even if the global economy is volatile, we don’t need to worry too much,” Purbaya said.
The minister reiterated that Indonesia’s economic policy is largely determined by the government, as around 80 percent of the economy is driven by domestic markets. He also noted that the current global economic outlook is not as bleak as many predict.
The World Bank projects global economic growth of 2.3 percent in 2025, rising slightly to 2.4 percent in 2026, while global market liquidity is also seen improving.
Purbaya added that strengthening the manufacturing sector is key to achieving higher and more sustainable economic growth. He cited South Korea, China, and Germany as examples of countries that successfully transformed their economies from agriculture-based systems to manufacturing, and later into advanced service-oriented economies.
“The essence is economic transformation. Countries like China, South Korea, and Germany made economic leaps because they consistently managed and developed their manufacturing base,” he said.
sumber : ANTARA
